After the trade · the decision

Review

“What would I need to see to change my mind?”

• The Evidence

  Confidence, Overconfidence, and How to Tell

  Research separates three different things called overconfidence, and they barely move together. Which means you cannot answer the question by asking yourself.

  primary source6 min

• Risk

  Drawdown: What a Losing Run Does to Judgement

  A losing run raises questions that cannot be answered from inside it. What the data says about persisting, and why a short sequence tells you so little.

  mixed sources6 min

• Process

  What to Actually Record in a Trading Journal

  Most trading journals record outcomes and feelings, which answer nothing. The fields that matter are written before the result is known, and there are not many.

  mixed sources5 min