The Measured Trader
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The moment

After the trade

Review, drawdown and judging yourself with something better than memory — which is the least reliable instrument a trader owns.

“Did I follow the plan I wrote?”

Review

“What would I need to see to change my mind?”

  • Confidence, Overconfidence, and How to Tell

    Research separates three different things called overconfidence, and they barely move together. Which means you cannot answer the question by asking yourself.

    6 min · primary source

  • Drawdown: What a Losing Run Does to Judgement

    A losing run raises questions that cannot be answered from inside it. What the data says about persisting, and why a short sequence tells you so little.

    6 min · mixed sources

  • What to Actually Record in a Trading Journal

    Most trading journals record outcomes and feelings, which answer nothing. The fields that matter are written before the result is known, and there are not many.

    5 min · mixed sources